What the Strategy Lab does and does not model

The Lab replays Polymarket's public price history for one outcome. A signal at a given point only sees prices up to that point, and the trade fills at the next recorded price — never the one that triggered it. Not modelled: order book depth, queue position, partial fills or market impact. The slippage setting is a flat assumption. Treat results as a check on an idea, not a forecast of returns.